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Deterioration of the global economic outlook
GLOBAL GROWTH IS PROJECTED TO MODERATE IN THE SECOND HALF OF 2022 AND TO SLOW IN 2023 TO 2.2%
High inflation persists for longer than expected
FOR THE MAJOR ECONOMIES, INFLATION IS PROJECTED TO PEAK IN 3Q22 AND TO DECLINE FROM 4Q22 ONWARDS, BUT TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE CENTRAL BANK TARGETS IN 2023
The US, the first to tighten its monetary policy, will return to the inflation target before the Eurozone or the UK
Inflationary pressures extend beyond food and energy
Energy crisis resulting from the war in Ukraine
DEMAND REDUCTION AND SUPPLY DIVERSIFICATION ARE NEEDED TO AVOID ENERGY SHORTAGES, ESPECIALLY IN EUROPE
Gas reserves in Europe, at 90% of their capacity, may not be sufficient to guarantee demand without reduction of consumption and/or diversification of supply sources